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Red20
224621.8
725412.6
361824.8
Blue108
705642.6
365537.2
132225.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639520408012014016020108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#10
24.84.4
23.519.1
Auto6.6
Teleop15.5
End2.8
blue by 17.8
42.61.2
38.239.4
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.5
Second
2246
#16
21.84.4
24.019.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End5.1
blue by 15.4
3655
#11
37.21.8
26.428.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Third
7254
#25
12.64.4
15.310.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End6.9
blue by 12.8
1322
#12
25.41.8
20.622.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned