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Red124
86240.6
365537.2
728924.8
Blue37
842416.5
556720.6
661022.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9459020408012014012437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#3
40.62.3
33.135.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End7.4
red by 17.7
6610
#22
22.81.8
23.421.6
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End8.3
Second
3655
#11
37.23.4
28.331.6
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 16.6
5567
#20
20.62.7
20.617.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Third
7289
#18
24.82.3
22.624.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End8.7
red by 8.3
8424
#33
16.52.7
15.713.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed