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Red62
725412.6
365537.2
556720.6
Blue66
607833.1
570219.5
569718.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64682040801006266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#11
37.20.1
31.631.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
red by 4.1
6078
#17
33.10.2
27.027.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.0
End5.7
Second
5567
#20
20.60.1
17.918.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.7
red by 1.1
5702
#13
19.50.2
18.018.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End4.9
Third
7254
#25
12.60.1
11.211.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End6.9
blue by 5.8
5697
#19
18.40.2
18.618.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned