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Red71
887325.3
569718.4
657032.3
Blue70
553015.4
567423.5
498331.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69653040506080901001107170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.4
25.125.5
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
red by 1.2
31.10.9
19.520.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Second
8873
#27
25.30.7
23.924.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 1.8
5674
#26
23.50.9
22.523.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End4.5
Third
5697
#19
18.40.4
15.616.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End9.5
red by 3.0
5530
#36
15.40.9
19.620.6
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed