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Red108
705642.6
353637.2
553015.4
Blue120
365537.2
661022.8
148137.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102956080120140108120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
42.442.6
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.5
red by 5.4
3655
#11
37.20.7
34.735.4
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End8.1
Second
37.20.2
37.137.2
Auto8.4
Teleop20.5
End8.3
Level
37.20.7
34.735.4
Auto9.1
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Third
5530
#36
15.40.2
15.215.4
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End3.1
blue by 7.4
6610
#22
22.80.7
20.321.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End8.3