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Red70
755330.1
719622.4
48548.7
Blue60
262033.5
569519.3
547815.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162020801001207060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7553
#16
30.12.1
18.921.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End8.6
blue by 3.4
2620
#18
33.50.3
32.933.2
Auto9.4
Teleop15.1
End9.0
Second
7196
#14
22.41.9
12.914.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.3
red by 3.1
5695
#39
19.30.3
11.511.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6
Third
4854
#33
8.71.9
9.311.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 7.0
5478
#35
15.70.3
11.411.7
Auto6.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsMissed