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Red89
31314.5
5154.4
769230.7
Blue135
364150.9
283241.6
925313.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82103406012014016018089135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#4
54.40.6
48.349.0
Auto13.2
Teleop30.2
End11.0
red by 3.6
50.92.4
43.545.9
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
Second
7692
#12
30.70.6
16.717.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End6.4
blue by 11.0
41.62.4
40.542.8
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End7.4
Third
313
#38
14.50.6
14.615.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 1.2
9253
#20
13.32.4
10.212.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned