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Red69
547815.7
686132.7
553213.6
Blue97
771627.3
925313.3
590750.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567720401001201401606997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
31.031.2
Auto9.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
blue by 17.8
50.51.8
37.839.6
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
Second
5478
#35
15.70.1
11.411.6
Auto6.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
blue by 11.6
7716
#15
27.31.8
20.021.9
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End8.4
Third
5532
#31
13.60.1
12.512.6
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End6.1
red by 0.3
9253
#20
13.31.8
11.813.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned