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Red105
619017.3
364150.9
719622.4
Blue64
615236.4
717835.5
475815.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838905010015020025010564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.4
45.546.9
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
red by 14.5
36.41.2
35.434.1
Auto11.8
Teleop16.8
End7.9
Second
7196
#14
22.41.4
18.119.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.3
blue by 13.1
7178
#13
35.51.2
30.228.9
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End4.1
Third
6190
#19
17.31.4
15.316.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End7.3
red by 2.2
4758
#36
15.01.2
17.115.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed