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Red68
830012.6
691424.3
842637.8
Blue115
569519.3
722043.8
717835.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728120406010012014016068115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#11
37.80.4
33.032.6
Auto10.9
Teleop19.9
End7.0
blue by 6.1
43.82.4
32.635.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
Second
6914
#22
24.30.4
23.523.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End6.0
blue by 11.2
7178
#13
35.52.4
28.931.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End4.1
Third
8300
#34
12.60.4
12.011.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End6.5
blue by 6.7
5695
#39
19.32.4
13.115.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed