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Red53
48548.7
569519.3
769230.7
Blue122
309816.6
590750.5
615236.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49112010015020053122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#12
30.70.1
23.423.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End6.4
blue by 19.8
50.51.3
41.743.0
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
Second
5695
#39
19.30.1
15.515.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6
blue by 17.1
36.41.3
34.636.0
Auto11.8
Teleop16.8
End7.9
Third
4854
#33
8.70.1
15.415.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 7.9
3098
#26
16.61.3
20.722.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned