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Red51
619017.3
475815.0
691424.3
Blue124
590750.5
283241.6
925012.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5086020406010012014051124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#22
24.30.4
22.221.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End6.0
blue by 26.2
50.53.2
29.632.8
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
Second
6190
#19
17.30.4
12.612.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End7.3
blue by 24.4
41.63.2
37.240.5
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End7.4
Third
4758
#36
15.00.4
16.616.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End4.7
red by 2.4
9250
#32
12.63.2
9.112.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned