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Red103
547815.7
691424.3
283241.6
Blue63
836216.7
830012.6
364150.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8476406010012010363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.7
44.346.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End7.4
blue by 9.2
50.90.6
44.443.8
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
Second
6914
#22
24.31.7
22.123.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End6.0
red by 7.6
8362
#27
16.70.6
16.816.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End6.0
Third
5478
#35
15.71.7
11.413.1
Auto6.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
red by 3.1
8300
#34
12.60.6
11.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned