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Red88
28021.1
31314.5
364150.9
Blue80
755330.1
686132.7
925012.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837002040601001201401608880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.2
43.843.6
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
red by 18.2
32.70.8
31.031.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
Second
280
#25
21.10.2
19.118.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.4
blue by 9.1
7553
#16
30.10.8
25.426.2
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End8.6
Third
313
#38
14.50.2
13.613.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 1.9
9250
#32
12.60.8
11.312.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned