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Red118
717835.5
561915.4
125044.6
Blue119
283241.6
755330.1
553213.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9287406080100120118119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.62.1
41.944.1
Auto14.1
Teleop22.9
End7.6
red by 2.9
41.62.1
44.346.4
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End7.4
Second
7178
#13
35.52.1
31.333.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End4.1
red by 5.4
7553
#16
30.12.1
27.529.6
Auto9.7
Teleop11.9
End8.6
Third
5619
#37
15.42.1
12.814.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.0
End9.9
red by 1.8
5532
#31
13.62.1
10.812.9
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned