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Red74
475815.0
519717.3
769230.7
Blue42
31314.5
830012.6
914810.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6335020801001207442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7692
#12
30.71.2
27.929.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End6.4
red by 16.2
313
#38
14.50.4
14.314.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.1
Second
5197
#10
17.31.2
14.315.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End8.2
red by 4.7
8300
#34
12.60.4
12.412.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End6.5
Third
4758
#36
15.01.2
13.114.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End4.7
red by 4.6
9148
#40
10.40.4
9.710.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed