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Red68
723210.8
925012.6
262033.5
Blue74
283241.6
309816.6
842637.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4812501001502006874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#18
33.50.9
33.134.0
Auto9.4
Teleop15.1
End9.0
blue by 8.1
41.62.2
46.444.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End7.4
Second
9250
#32
12.60.9
12.813.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End3.3
blue by 25.2
8426
#11
37.82.2
39.637.3
Auto10.9
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Third
7232
#30
10.80.9
9.210.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 5.8
3098
#26
16.62.2
21.319.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed