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Red50
862312.7
28021.1
569519.3
Blue82
553213.6
723210.8
364150.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5379020401001201401605082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#25
21.10.6
21.921.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.4
blue by 29.8
50.90.7
48.048.8
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
Second
5695
#39
19.30.6
18.117.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6
red by 5.7
5532
#31
13.60.7
12.913.6
Auto1.1
Teleop6.5
End6.1
Third
8623
#23
12.70.6
13.212.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End6.7
red by 1.9
7232
#30
10.80.7
10.110.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned