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Red134
569519.3
722043.8
5154.4
Blue118
615236.4
842637.8
719622.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259850150200134118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#4
54.40.4
53.353.7
Auto13.2
Teleop30.2
End11.0
red by 16.6
8426
#11
37.80.3
37.537.8
Auto10.9
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
43.80.4
42.743.2
Auto14.0
Teleop23.0
End6.8
red by 7.4
36.40.3
36.136.4
Auto11.8
Teleop16.8
End7.9
Third
5695
#39
19.30.4
18.218.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.4
End6.6
blue by 3.1
7196
#14
22.40.3
22.122.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.3