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Red151
653223.1
590750.5
364150.9
Blue117
615236.4
842637.8
719622.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329550150200151117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.7
49.149.8
Auto13.2
Teleop28.3
End9.4
red by 13.1
8426
#11
37.80.3
36.837.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.9
End7.0
Second
50.50.7
48.749.4
Auto14.6
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 14.1
36.40.3
35.435.7
Auto11.8
Teleop16.8
End7.9
Third
6532
#29
23.10.7
21.322.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.5
End4.4
red by 0.8
7196
#14
22.40.3
21.421.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.3