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Red108
719622.4
842637.8
615236.4
Blue67
769230.7
262033.5
30833.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010705015020010867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#11
37.80.3
37.137.4
Auto10.9
Teleop19.9
End7.0
red by 4.3
2620
#18
33.50.7
34.233.5
Auto9.4
Teleop15.1
End9.0
Second
36.40.3
35.736.0
Auto11.8
Teleop16.8
End7.9
red by 3.3
308
#21
33.10.7
33.933.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Third
7196
#14
22.40.3
21.722.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.3
blue by 8.3
7692
#12
30.70.7
31.430.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End6.4