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Red81
521318.1
570615.7
439831.6
Blue95
838228.6
531437.9
611229.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69772040601001201401608195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#27
31.60.7
31.832.5
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
blue by 6.4
37.91.6
29.431.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Second
5213
#35
18.10.7
18.419.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.0
End4.2
blue by 11.8
6112
#14
29.91.6
18.420.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
Third
5706
#32
15.70.7
15.916.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End7.8
blue by 12.9
8382
#15
28.61.6
23.525.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned