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Red124
607923.5
85758.9
554732.1
Blue68
498817.6
90429.8
778238.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087920406010012014016018012468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#2
58.91.1
51.652.7
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.1
red by 20.8
38.11.3
31.930.6
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
5547
#10
32.11.1
27.628.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End7.7
red by 2.2
904
#19
29.81.3
26.525.2
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
Third
6079
#21
23.51.1
18.219.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1
red by 5.8
4988
#28
17.61.3
19.217.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed