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Red111
611229.9
725035.7
804123.4
Blue72
587823.8
508433.9
608818.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667520406010012014011172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.73.2
24.928.1
Auto10.7
Teleop14.8
End10.3
red by 1.8
5084
#13
33.90.2
29.229.4
Auto11.6
Teleop16.0
End6.4
Second
6112
#14
29.93.2
20.023.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
red by 6.1
5878
#33
23.80.2
21.521.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End8.1
Third
8041
#20
23.43.2
18.621.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2
red by 4.7
6088
#31
18.70.2
18.318.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned