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Red113
611229.9
85758.9
482720.8
Blue127
554732.1
439244.3
778238.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99102050150200113127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#2
58.91.3
52.754.0
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.1
red by 14.6
44.32.1
36.338.4
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End7.7
Second
6112
#14
29.91.3
23.124.5
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
blue by 8.2
38.12.1
30.632.7
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Third
4827
#38
20.81.3
17.118.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.7
blue by 11.3
5547
#10
32.12.1
28.730.8
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned