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Red125
782614.7
365552.1
508433.9
Blue97
521318.1
838228.6
656933.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806405010015012597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.13.5
37.240.7
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End8.1
red by 18.4
33.72.3
26.628.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Second
5084
#13
33.93.9
24.027.8
Auto11.6
Teleop16.0
End6.4
red by 5.3
8382
#15
28.62.3
20.723.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End6.3
Third
7826
#22
14.73.5
11.715.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End5.9
blue by 3.4
5213
#35
18.12.3
14.717.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsEarned