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Red38
570615.7
611229.9
498817.6
Blue65
655817.1
482720.8
918816.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664702040801001201403865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6112
#14
29.91.4
25.023.5
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
red by 9.0
4827
#38
20.80.9
18.819.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Second
4988
#28
17.61.4
17.916.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 0.5
6558
#26
17.10.9
15.916.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Third
5706
#32
15.71.4
16.415.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End7.8
blue by 1.0
9188
#37
16.70.9
11.612.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed12%Activation oddsEarned