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Red120
782323.2
917635.8
663734.2
Blue96
439831.6
611229.9
437522.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987820406012014016012096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9176
#12
35.82.1
34.936.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End6.4
red by 4.2
4398
#27
31.61.3
33.234.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
Second
34.22.1
32.734.7
Auto12.3
Teleop16.5
End5.3
red by 4.4
6112
#14
29.91.3
23.524.9
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End6.9
Third
7823
#18
23.22.1
21.623.7
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End4.1
red by 0.8
4375
#30
22.31.3
19.220.5
Auto8.8
Teleop7.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned