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Red55
607923.5
521318.1
782323.2
Blue126
85758.9
612133.7
655817.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5812310015055126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6079
#21
23.50.9
22.121.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End8.1
blue by 35.5
857
#2
58.90.9
58.259.2
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.1
Second
7823
#18
23.20.9
23.722.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 10.5
6121
#16
33.70.9
32.433.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Third
5213
#35
18.10.9
17.116.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.0
End4.2
red by 0.9
6558
#26
17.10.9
16.817.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed