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Red50
611321.9
655817.1
804123.4
Blue91
159616.2
439831.6
90429.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508002040601001201405091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8041
#20
23.40.0
16.516.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2
blue by 8.2
4398
#27
31.61.0
30.331.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
Second
6113
#25
21.90.1
19.919.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.7
End6.2
blue by 8.0
904
#19
29.81.0
23.124.1
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
Third
6558
#26
17.10.0
14.214.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End2.3
red by 1.0
1596
#29
16.21.0
17.618.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned