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Red77
548616.6
612133.7
498817.6
Blue80
159616.2
531437.9
570615.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6674204060801001207780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#16
33.70.9
31.432.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 4.3
37.90.1
36.937.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Second
4988
#28
17.60.9
15.816.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 1.4
1596
#29
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.7
Third
5486
#36
16.60.9
15.616.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 0.9
5706
#32
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned