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Red109
439244.3
656933.7
360223.6
Blue78
482720.8
587823.8
838228.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10874406010012014016010978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.8
42.443.2
Auto13.4
Teleop23.1
End7.7
red by 15.7
8382
#15
28.60.0
29.028.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End6.3
Second
33.70.8
32.233.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End6.0
red by 9.9
5878
#33
23.80.0
23.923.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End8.1
Third
3602
#17
23.60.8
22.323.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.8
red by 2.8
4827
#38
20.80.0
20.920.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed