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Red85
439831.6
258625.4
663734.2
Blue118
804123.4
778238.1
612133.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969770809011012013085118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.1
33.833.7
Auto12.3
Teleop16.5
End5.3
blue by 3.9
38.10.5
36.837.2
Auto13.4
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
4398
#27
31.60.1
31.231.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.2
End7.3
blue by 2.1
6121
#16
33.70.5
32.332.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Third
25.40.1
25.024.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End8.2
red by 2.0
8041
#20
23.40.5
22.122.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End7.2