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Red94
925532.7
811529.2
555530.7
Blue99
924535.0
353948.6
45315.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74850501001502009499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.5
28.329.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End6.4
blue by 15.9
48.61.4
46.748.0
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End8.3
Second
30.71.5
18.720.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End8.0
blue by 4.3
9245
#17
35.01.4
22.724.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.5
Third
8115
#16
29.21.5
24.125.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
red by 13.5
453
#13
15.71.4
9.310.7
Auto1.5
Teleop8.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned