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Red111
523912.1
118949.2
317555.4
Blue84
481026.2
781317.0
12337.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115815010015020011184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.5
47.748.2
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
red by 18.3
123
#23
37.10.3
35.235.5
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
49.20.5
45.045.6
Auto16.1
Teleop24.8
End8.3
red by 23.0
4810
#24
26.20.3
26.126.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End6.9
Third
5239
#28
12.10.5
10.511.0
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End3.1
blue by 5.0
7813
#39
17.00.3
18.819.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned