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Red67
609925.3
477936.5
836413.8
Blue106
81851.6
592638.0
504619.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80103406012014016018067106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#18
36.51.1
40.239.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.1
End3.9
blue by 15.2
818
#2
51.60.8
42.142.9
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
Second
6099
#26
25.31.1
20.119.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End3.7
blue by 12.7
5926
#14
38.00.8
33.834.6
Auto14.2
Teleop17.5
End6.3
Third
8364
#27
13.81.1
17.616.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End5.9
blue by 5.6
5046
#19
19.40.8
17.618.4
Auto8.6
Teleop6.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned