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Red133
81851.6
45315.7
213735.2
Blue77
925219.7
759715.8
924535.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9157020408010012014016013377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#2
51.62.7
42.945.6
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 16.6
9245
#17
35.01.3
25.827.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.5
Second
2137
#12
35.22.7
28.531.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.8
red by 15.5
9252
#31
19.71.3
21.322.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End6.1
Third
453
#13
15.72.7
9.812.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.3
End5.9
blue by 0.1
7597
#30
15.81.3
10.511.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned