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Red68
12337.1
523912.1
924535.0
Blue126
608519.5
81851.6
612026.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81966012014016068126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#23
37.10.7
39.538.9
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.2
blue by 14.6
818
#2
51.61.9
47.549.4
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
Second
9245
#17
35.00.7
28.728.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.5
red by 8.5
6120
#15
26.51.9
21.923.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.2
End5.6
Third
5239
#28
12.10.7
9.99.2
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End3.1
blue by 7.4
6085
#21
19.51.9
18.520.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned