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Red96
496119.2
546059.6
836413.8
Blue57
522512.6
924535.0
607715.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875102040601001201401609657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.61.3
49.250.5
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
red by 24.6
9245
#17
35.00.0
22.822.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.5
Second
4961
#29
19.21.3
13.414.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End1.8
red by 3.8
6077
#38
15.40.0
19.819.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End4.7
Third
8364
#27
13.81.3
14.115.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End5.9
red by 1.2
5225
#32
12.60.0
10.010.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed