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Red133
925219.7
81851.6
170152.2
Blue106
546059.6
656722.5
12337.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126127100110120140150160170133106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.0
48.649.5
Auto13.1
Teleop32.2
End6.8
blue by 7.4
59.60.9
57.656.7
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Second
818
#2
51.61.0
49.450.3
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 14.6
123
#23
37.10.9
38.938.0
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Third
9252
#31
19.71.0
20.721.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.1
End6.1
blue by 2.8
6567
#36
22.50.9
22.922.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed