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Red82
776219.7
924535.0
811529.2
Blue123
921216.6
317555.4
353948.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721375010015020082123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#17
35.00.4
28.028.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.5
blue by 20.4
55.40.2
54.354.5
Auto14.4
Teleop30.8
End10.2
Second
8115
#16
29.20.4
27.527.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 19.4
48.60.2
49.849.9
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End8.3
Third
7762
#25
19.70.4
20.320.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End7.7
red by 3.1
9212
#40
16.60.2
16.416.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned