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Red100
656722.5
477936.5
413044.0
Blue105
523912.1
546059.6
776219.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11094406080100120140160100105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#11
44.00.9
42.441.5
Auto14.0
Teleop24.0
End5.9
blue by 15.7
59.61.0
59.560.6
Auto16.3
Teleop35.1
End8.1
Second
4779
#18
36.50.9
36.435.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.1
End3.9
red by 16.8
7762
#25
19.71.0
19.420.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End7.7
Third
6567
#36
22.50.9
22.521.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End8.3
red by 10.4
5239
#28
12.11.0
11.012.0
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned