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Red136
504619.4
81851.6
353948.6
Blue105
555530.7
213735.2
838527.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369350150200136105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#2
51.60.2
52.552.3
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 16.4
2137
#12
35.20.2
35.035.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.8
Second
48.60.2
49.549.3
Auto12.8
Teleop27.5
End8.3
red by 17.9
30.70.2
30.530.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End8.0
Third
5046
#19
19.40.2
20.320.1
Auto8.6
Teleop6.1
End4.8
blue by 8.0
8385
#20
27.50.2
27.327.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End7.4