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Red134
118949.2
586023.7
170152.2
Blue85
12337.1
811529.2
925532.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401035015020013485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.1
52.652.7
Auto13.1
Teleop32.2
End6.8
red by 15.1
123
#23
37.10.4
37.837.5
Auto12.2
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
49.20.1
49.649.7
Auto16.1
Teleop24.8
End8.3
red by 16.5
32.70.4
33.533.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.9
End6.4
Third
5860
#22
23.70.1
24.124.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End5.8
blue by 5.5
8115
#16
29.20.4
30.029.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.3
End4.3