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Red141
571253.2
377037.9
511440.7
Blue133
31436.6
560330.7
516655.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311780100140160141133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.22.3
41.443.7
Auto13.5
Teleop31.0
End8.7
blue by 2.4
55.61.6
48.049.6
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
Second
40.72.3
34.636.9
Auto12.6
Teleop18.9
End9.3
red by 4.2
314
#10
36.61.6
30.331.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.2
End9.2
Third
37.92.3
30.232.5
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
red by 7.2
5603
#20
30.71.6
30.632.2
Auto8.5
Teleop15.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned