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Red106
924615.6
511440.7
560330.7
Blue112
571253.2
603317.6
353639.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510450150200106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.6
36.938.5
Auto12.6
Teleop18.9
End9.3
blue by 12.5
53.20.8
43.744.5
Auto13.5
Teleop31.0
End8.7
Second
5603
#20
30.71.6
32.233.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.7
End6.6
blue by 8.8
39.50.8
33.334.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End10.2
Third
9246
#30
15.61.6
12.714.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End5.3
blue by 2.0
6033
#23
17.60.8
17.718.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned