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Red127
598222.5
516655.6
696329.9
Blue53
60209.6
828624.9
520320.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10842015012753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.62.0
49.051.0
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
red by 30.7
8286
#33
24.90.3
27.227.5
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End5.4
Second
29.92.0
24.326.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 9.1
5203
#12
20.90.3
14.114.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End5.6
Third
5982
#14
22.52.0
19.421.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End6.4
red by 12.9
6020
#34
9.60.3
6.87.1
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsMissed