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Red68
598222.5
851727.8
828624.9
Blue131
516655.6
887328.0
511440.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711275010015020068131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#21
27.80.7
25.324.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End7.7
blue by 27.8
55.60.6
51.051.5
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
Second
8286
#33
24.90.7
27.526.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End5.4
blue by 15.8
40.70.6
38.839.4
Auto12.6
Teleop18.9
End9.3
Third
5982
#14
22.50.7
21.320.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End6.4
blue by 5.5
8873
#17
28.00.6
22.623.2
Auto10.2
Teleop11.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned