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Red85
523121.7
922521.3
261933.3
Blue53
550915.7
828624.9
696329.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72812040601001201408553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#11
33.30.4
29.730.1
Auto12.8
Teleop10.7
End9.7
red by 3.4
29.91.5
26.124.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End7.7
Second
5231
#22
21.70.7
20.120.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
blue by 3.2
8286
#33
24.91.5
26.825.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End5.4
Third
9225
#19
21.30.4
19.019.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End3.9
red by 5.7
5509
#38
15.72.5
22.319.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed