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Red127
516655.6
851727.8
523121.7
Blue61
606727.6
603317.6
922521.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116005010015012761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.6
51.853.4
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
red by 28.0
6067
#26
27.60.1
23.923.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End6.3
Second
8517
#21
27.81.6
24.826.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End7.7
red by 6.4
9225
#19
21.30.1
19.419.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End3.9
Third
5231
#22
21.72.5
20.823.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
red by 4.1
6033
#23
17.60.1
19.219.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed